Bitcoin is falling, my plan is in action, but what next?

20 thg 8, 2023

As expected, Bitcoin has broken through the trend line and is heading towards the 18,000 - 20,000 mark.

This is not a continuation of the bear market, this is the beginning of a bull market and a correction of 9 months of growth.

Technically, it is very important to come to the zone that I marked 4 months ago.

I expect the development of events exactly as indicated on the graph. If everything has been going according to plan for so long, what's the point of me changing it?

20 thg 8, 2023

Ghi chú

The stablecoin chart. If it grows, the market falls. This chart is cleaner to understand than the chart of other cryptocurrencies:



Market capitalization chart, there are no changes in the plan:

20 thg 8, 2023

Ghi chú

My plan, which I showed on July 13:


My plan, which I showed on April 11:

22 thg 8, 2023

Ghi chú

Local plan:

23 thg 8, 2023

Ghi chú

Everything is going according to the scenario that I voiced 8 months ago, which I updated 4 months ago and am writing now.

I don't see any reason to change my plan, which is reasoned, which works out with 100% accuracy.

Locally, I can always make mistakes, everything below the weekly timeframe is a field for errors. But globally, everything is going as it should.

26 thg 8, 2023

Ghi chú

Bitcoin Realized Price is the value of all bitcoins at the price they were last transacted on-chain, divided by the number of bitcoins in circulation. This gives us the ‘average cost basis’ at which all bitcoins were purchased, which is another way of describing Realized Price = $20,300



Terminal price = $18,170
CVDD stands for Cumulative Value Coin Days Destroyed = $117,615

30 thg 8, 2023

Ghi chú

There are no changes in the plan, everything is relevant.

11 thg 9, 2023

Ghi chú

No changes, in a month I will show the full motion vector, which I calculated using a mathematical model

21 thg 9, 2023

Ghi chú

Locally, we are not going exactly according to the script, but with 90% fidelity.

Locally it is always very difficult to argue the price movement, but as you can see, everything is real and goes according to the scenario.

Globally, everything goes exactly according to the analysis. The main argument for the decline remains the weakness of the market and the structure that has been repeated on Bitcoin since its inception, namely, the fall before halving.