My bias for the dollar is that it may start to slow down and experience some pullbacks, likely to fill the imbalances below and capture some liquidity. However, I also see Scenario A playing out, which could push the price upward and continue the bullish trend.
Given the current market conditions, I expect these retracements, which also align with my outlook for EU and GU.
Confluences supporting my bullish bias on the dollar:
- The DXY has been very bullish and has broken significant structure to the upside.
- The DXY has surpassed the key psychological level of 105.00.
- There is still a lot of liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken.
- Clean demand zones are in place, reinforcing my bullish outlook.
P.S. Be cautious and watch for the major red news on Wednesday, specifically the CPI event, as it will provide key insight for the forecast. I expect the dollar to retrace ahead of the news, but once it's released, I anticipate the dollar will shoot back up.
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