The EUR/USD experienced a slight increase on a calm Monday in the financial markets. This week, important inflation data will be released, and central bankers will be making speeches. The US dollar weakened moderately on Monday due to a decrease in US yields and a rise in commodity prices.
On Monday, data was released showing a decline in the German Ifo, following pessimism triggered by PMI data on Friday. The headline index for June dropped from 91.5 to 88.5, which was below the market's expectation of 90.7. Additionally, the Expectation Index fell from 88.3 to 83.6, and the Current Assessment decreased from 94.8 to 93.7.
The European Central Bank's forum on central banking in Sintra has begun, with numerous central bank officials from around the world attending. ECB President Lagarde and other policymakers will be speaking multiple times, starting on Tuesday. If the ECB wants to communicate a message to the market this week, it has an opportunity to do so. It is most likely that they will stick to the current "data-dependent" approach and signal another rate hike in July.
Fed Chair Powell will also be speaking at the Sintra forum on Wednesday, but it is unlikely that there will be any surprises
On Monday, data was released showing a decline in the German Ifo, following pessimism triggered by PMI data on Friday. The headline index for June dropped from 91.5 to 88.5, which was below the market's expectation of 90.7. Additionally, the Expectation Index fell from 88.3 to 83.6, and the Current Assessment decreased from 94.8 to 93.7.
The European Central Bank's forum on central banking in Sintra has begun, with numerous central bank officials from around the world attending. ECB President Lagarde and other policymakers will be speaking multiple times, starting on Tuesday. If the ECB wants to communicate a message to the market this week, it has an opportunity to do so. It is most likely that they will stick to the current "data-dependent" approach and signal another rate hike in July.
Fed Chair Powell will also be speaking at the Sintra forum on Wednesday, but it is unlikely that there will be any surprises
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Lagarde: Monetary policy currently has only one goal: to return inflation to our 2% medium-term target in a timely manner. And we are committed to reaching this goal come what may.
