EURUSD at an important support.
EUR/USD is currently positioned at a significant support area on the daily chart, marked by both an uptrend line and horizontal support. Here are some important notes about the pair right now:
Considering these factors, an upward movement may occur if the price holds at the support level, potentially leading to a recovery towards 1.0950. Conversely, a downward movement could ensue if the price breaks through the channel support and trendline, possibly reaching the support area around 1.0670.
Attention to NonFarm Payrolls on Friday:
Traders interested in the EUR/USD this week should be cautious about the release of the NonFarm Payrolls (NFP) data, which will occur on Friday, November 1st. The NFP is one of the most important economic indicators in the financial market, as it measures the change in the number of jobs in the non-agricultural sector in the US. This data is a reflection of the health of the US economy and directly influences expectations about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy.
When the NFP is released, it provides insight into the level of economic activity and the strength of the US labor market. If the jobs data beats expectations, it could signal a strong economy, prompting the Fed to consider tightening monetary policy, such as raising interest rates. Higher interest rates tend to boost the dollar, as they attract more investment in higher-yielding US assets. Consequently, a strong NFP could put downward pressure on the EUR/USD, strengthening the dollar against the euro.
On the other hand, a below-expected NFP could suggest an economic slowdown, prompting the Fed to adopt a more cautious stance, such as keeping interest rates steady or even cutting them. In this scenario, the dollar could weaken, which would favor a rise in the EUR/USD.
Disclaimer:
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
- Long-Term Ascending Channel: The black lines forming an ascending channel on the chart indicate that EUR/USD has been in an uptrend since October 2023. This channel acts as a dynamic range for support and resistance, with the price generally adhering to these lines over time.
- Horizontal Support on D1: The lower black line of the channel highlights a Double Bottom pattern, suggesting that sellers have struggled to push the price lower. Additionally, this horizontal support aligns with the ascending trend line on the daily chart, which the price recently tested. Given the confluence of these lines (the uptrend and horizontal support), this level is crucial and could influence EUR/USD's direction in the coming days.
- Resistance and Support Zones: The horizontal green areas represent key resistance and support zones. The main resistance level is near 1.0950, which previously functioned as support but was recently breached during a downward move. The support zone is located at 1.0667, serving as the next target if the price breaks below the current channel support.
- Recent Candlestick Patterns: On October 24, a bullish engulfing pattern formed, indicating renewed buyer interest after the price touched the support region on the daily chart. This pattern occurs when a bearish candle is fully engulfed by a subsequent bullish candle, suggesting potential buying momentum.
Considering these factors, an upward movement may occur if the price holds at the support level, potentially leading to a recovery towards 1.0950. Conversely, a downward movement could ensue if the price breaks through the channel support and trendline, possibly reaching the support area around 1.0670.
Attention to NonFarm Payrolls on Friday:
Traders interested in the EUR/USD this week should be cautious about the release of the NonFarm Payrolls (NFP) data, which will occur on Friday, November 1st. The NFP is one of the most important economic indicators in the financial market, as it measures the change in the number of jobs in the non-agricultural sector in the US. This data is a reflection of the health of the US economy and directly influences expectations about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy.
When the NFP is released, it provides insight into the level of economic activity and the strength of the US labor market. If the jobs data beats expectations, it could signal a strong economy, prompting the Fed to consider tightening monetary policy, such as raising interest rates. Higher interest rates tend to boost the dollar, as they attract more investment in higher-yielding US assets. Consequently, a strong NFP could put downward pressure on the EUR/USD, strengthening the dollar against the euro.
On the other hand, a below-expected NFP could suggest an economic slowdown, prompting the Fed to adopt a more cautious stance, such as keeping interest rates steady or even cutting them. In this scenario, the dollar could weaken, which would favor a rise in the EUR/USD.
Disclaimer:
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
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