EUR/USD to remain under pressure
The EUR/USD trading pair once again met resistance near the 1.1375 mark this morning.
This level has been a sideways trend resistance since November 2021 and has already beaten the price down 4 times. The price growth lows is interesting.
Every attempt to push the price down is getting weaker, and the dynamic support line is aimed at the north. It is likely that against the background of liquidity compression and the growth of price lows, the price is preparing for an impulsive growth.
A potential rate hike by the US Federal Reserve in March 2022 has already been included in the price. For this reason, the euro may now begin an active recovery after rebounding from the support zone around 1.1310. It is supported by the key economic numbers coming from the US and the Eurozone, such as inflation expectations for the new year. The next target of EURUSD is a retest of the resistance level near 1.1375.
According to Nomura analyst Jordan Rochester, it is expected that the euro will remain under pressure in the first quarter, telling DailyForex:
“We expect the euro to remain under pressure in the first quarter with a lower trade surplus, stronger use of Covid-19 restrictions and higher interest rates from the Fed in raising rates in March. The risks in the view are that trade succeeds in the fourth quarter of 2021, and January tends to be the time when agreed deals break down.”
The EUR/USD will need to get back above the 1.1500 level to have a chance to develop sustainable upside momentum in 2022.
This level has been a sideways trend resistance since November 2021 and has already beaten the price down 4 times. The price growth lows is interesting.
Every attempt to push the price down is getting weaker, and the dynamic support line is aimed at the north. It is likely that against the background of liquidity compression and the growth of price lows, the price is preparing for an impulsive growth.
A potential rate hike by the US Federal Reserve in March 2022 has already been included in the price. For this reason, the euro may now begin an active recovery after rebounding from the support zone around 1.1310. It is supported by the key economic numbers coming from the US and the Eurozone, such as inflation expectations for the new year. The next target of EURUSD is a retest of the resistance level near 1.1375.
According to Nomura analyst Jordan Rochester, it is expected that the euro will remain under pressure in the first quarter, telling DailyForex:
“We expect the euro to remain under pressure in the first quarter with a lower trade surplus, stronger use of Covid-19 restrictions and higher interest rates from the Fed in raising rates in March. The risks in the view are that trade succeeds in the fourth quarter of 2021, and January tends to be the time when agreed deals break down.”
The EUR/USD will need to get back above the 1.1500 level to have a chance to develop sustainable upside momentum in 2022.
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