EURUSD: Further ECB tightening - BUY

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It is anticipated that the ECB will increase its Deposit Rate by 25 basis points in May and then again in June, resulting in a peak rate of 3.50% for this cycle. Despite the current market pricing indicating a maximum policy rate of approximately 3.09%, we believe that this is too low based on our expectations for a more aggressive ECB policy outlook. This prediction is a significant element in our projection for the Euro to exhibit medium-term resilience against the USD.

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