Coureur_de_bois

Tuesday's the Big Day!

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NYSE:GS   Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The)
In a previous idea I had suggested that $GS had broke out of a falling channel and started rising. There wasn't a lot of time to establish a trend but after going sideways since Aug such a long consolidation can lead to quick, large moves. That pattern has been invalidated and it now seems that in the best case there was a backtest of the falling channel upper bound. In the worst case it's a big old false breakout. In either case this will be decided by the next candle which happens to be earnings day. I would expect something similar to JPM with an EPS but showing continual QoQ declines in EPS. The question is how much bad news has been priced in. Unlike $JPM which got hit hard, $GS was already recently hit with a downgrade and has gone down in sympathy with $JPM. This could lead to any surprise upside sending shares higher. If it's a break down, though, the fall could be significant and take it back down to consolidate again in the mid-$300s.
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