HK50 short term analysis, give me some ideas!!

Am I correct?

If price breakdowns 24443, it will be a downtrend to 22000

If price breakout 25778, it will go up to 26600 first then rebound to be a downtrend


Short Term
SHORT @ 25200 or wait for SHORT@24443
SL @ 25800
TP @ 22000
Risk and reward rate around 1:3- 1:5

Thank you.