LTCUSD has completed bullish setup for big bullish rally

27 thg 3, 2020

A powerful bullish signal 2nd time appeared in history of LTC:
In June 2016 there was first time in the history of Litecoin the 50 simple moving average crossed up the 100 simple moving average on weekly chart. And this golden cross produced really very powerful bullish rally upto 8000%. This year in Feb 2020 second time in the history we have received the same strong bullish signals that the 50 SMA has formed the golden cross with 100 simple moving average but there is some difference between the both golden crosses. When the 50 simple moving average formed the golden cross with 100 SMA in 2016 at that time this cross was formed beneath the price action therefore the candlesticks did not have the resistance of 50 and 100 simple moving averages above them. But this time the golden cross has been formed above the candlestick therefore we the priceline had a very strong resistance of these two moving averages and eventually the price action could not break out this resistance level and dropped down again. But there is a very strong positive sign that so far the 50 moving average did not form a death cross with the 100 simple moving average and both simple moving averages are moving sideways. But if the 50 SMA will again form a death cross with 100 simple moving average then it cannot produce very strong bearish trend because the distance between the both moving averages is very low. If 50 SMA would be coming from the long distance and form the death cross with the 100 simple moving average then it could produce very disasters bearish rally.


In 2016 the golden cross formed beneath the candlesticks


Current golden cross formed above the candlesticks and working as resistance


Second strong bullish signal:
There is another very strong bullish signal is appeared on very long term monthly chart. And that is the priceline of Lite Coin is hitting at 50 simple moving average support second time in the history of LTC. Even though this month we have is very strong long bearish candlestick but if we see the momentum indicator then it is still turning bullish and ignoring this bearish trend. And the stochastic has given bull cross from very close to oversold zone area.
Before this the price action has touched the 50 simple moving average on this monthly chart in December 2018 and after that we have witnessed a very strong bullish rally up to 563%. Therefore if price action will be able to cross up the resistance of 50 and 100 simple moving averages on weekly chart then we can witness same kind of bullish rally again.


A big descending triangle:
Now I am switching back to the weekly chart. And here we can see that the price line of LTC is moving in a descending triangle. The price action was entered in this triangle on May 2017 and at this time we can observe that the price line has reached very close to the support of this triangle and moving up now. If we more closely observe the priceline then it can be clearly seen that this time the priceline is not able to hit at the support even though it was moved very close to the support. And the reason is that when the priceline had hit the support in the past at that time the Bollinger bands was also at the support of the triangle but at this time the bollinger bands is above the triangle and there is distance between the bollinger bands and the triangle support. Therefore the bollinger bands has stopped the price action to reach up to the support. I've also placed the volume profile on the complete price action moving within this triangle and as a result we can see that the trader’s interest is up to the support and that is bit critical but the point of control of this volume profile is at $61.5. Therefore tere are strong chances that soon the priceline will be pulled back to the POC level of the volume profile. After that there are also chances that priceline will again make another attempt to break out the resistance of the triangle. We can also see that at this time the triangle is quite squeezed and the movement of the price line is also getting quite narrowed and this is the decision making for the Litecoin’s priceline whether it has to break down or break out.


Formation of harmonic Crab a bullish reversal signal:
If we switch to the smaller time period 2 day chart then it can be clearly examined that at the support of this descending triangle the priceline has formed a bullish Crab pattern. The priceline has just hit the spike in the potential reversal zone of this Crab pattern and turned back and entered in the Fibonacci projection area of A to D leg between 0.382 to 0.786 Fib projection. But I am expecting that this pattern will be helpful for the price line to move up even the priceline can cross up the 0.786 Fibonacci protection level. And once it will be able to cross up the 0.786 Fib projection then it can use this level as support and make a powerful attempt to have a break out from the descending triangle’s resistance.


Conclusion:
All indicators chart parent and signals are in favour of bulls rather bears. Therefore there are less chances that priceline will break down the support of the descending triangle. So we should be ready for big profit gains.
But the support of triangle should be used as stop loss because if this support will be broken down then there can be power bearish move.

Note: This idea is education purpose only and not intended to be investment advise, please seek a duly licensed professional and do you own research before any investment.