hungry_hippo

Short NAV

Giá xuống
hungry_hippo Cập nhật   
NYSE:NAV   None
Will probably beat on earnings, but guidance is gonna suck. Why?

www.ttnews.com/...lmost-two-years?utm_source...

If you're long on this stock, read the article, then sell, lol.
Bình luận:
In case you don't want to open the link, NAV Class 8 truck sales went down 42% Y/Y in Nov.

Anyone buying today ain't reading the news...
Bình luận:
Probably should wait until Monday to buy puts, looks like the market is going pumptarded.

Got in too soon, thought this morning was the top/
Giao dịch được đóng thủ công:
Closed out all my positions on the weak open so I can go duck hunting today. Made $15k this week, figured I'd call it good.

Still think guidance will suck though.
Giao dịch đang hoạt động:
Can't really find much else, so I decided to take a stab at some Dec 27 puts for earnings. I'm counting on poor guidance, we'll see tomorrow morning.
Giao dịch được đóng thủ công:
Decided to take the easy money in case it decides to close the gap before tanking.
Bình luận:
Nailed my third earnings in a row.... this one is easy. When they publish industry sales results, and the computers pump the stock anyways, you know it won't end well.

I'm guessing it throws a bear flag similar to end of July before tanking. QUite frankly, the truck industry is at over capacity so I see no reason why sales would get any better. People don;t go buy trucks on a whim, this isn't yoga pants.
Giao dịch đang hoạt động:
Entered into Jan puts at gap resistance. With the market melting up,it's hard to find good shorts....

If this trade fails, short at the gap fill. In any case, this has to head down, otherwise it's easy money shorting on earnings again.
Bình luận:
Trade looking good, only computers buying. Anybody with any brains is selling.

Weird thing is that people (including institutions) will invest without even looking at sales figures. That's just dumb.
Giao dịch được đóng thủ công:
Closed trade for minimal gain. Decided to use the money to short BYND on the pop up this morning.
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