Nifty future prediction

From last 6 week nifty hasn't been able to close above 11950. It had the chance on friday but was beaten down. Now i feel we are heading down till 11450 and on 5th July which is a budget day big money will push the down price till 11250 touch it and spike back up. The probability of this pattern repeating is very high.
Beyond Technical AnalysisChart PatternsNIFTYTrend Analysis

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