01 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty -A dramatic reversal of stance🐂
Nifty Analysis
If you had witnessed the price action, then today’s performance was the total opposite. This is what I said yesterday “I wish to change my stance to bearish for tomorrow unless the 19310 resistance is breached.” and guess what - we had the break of resistance in the first 30mts itself.
Who would believe we had a 203pts intraday rally today and not just the break of resistance. As soon as the 1hr passed above the 19310 levels, I had to go long today - because the momentum was in favor of the bulls.
As it stands Nifty has made its 3rd attempt to break away from the bearish channel. Remember the first 2 attempts were rejected wherein Nifty was pulled back. Today’s price action is quite different - the leap in points came during trading and not by gap-up signifying a shift in the sentiment.
Opening gap-up and then not sustaining is just euphoria & will fade out pretty soon, whereas the gains or pains made during trading hours shows mass market acceptance. The number of green hourly candles today = 5 and the red ones = 2 with no body. Nifty is back at the 19450 levels, something already tested on 30th Aug.
If you were also short like me for today, there is a high possibility that you would have run into losses just like me. What we need to learn from this is - we hope and plan for X to happen and most likely Y happens. If trading was that easy, then everybody would have made it.
As it stands, I change my stance from bearish to 60% bullish & 40% neutral for Monday 04 Sep. The moment 19564 gets taken out my stance will be 100% bullish
If you had witnessed the price action, then today’s performance was the total opposite. This is what I said yesterday “I wish to change my stance to bearish for tomorrow unless the 19310 resistance is breached.” and guess what - we had the break of resistance in the first 30mts itself.
Who would believe we had a 203pts intraday rally today and not just the break of resistance. As soon as the 1hr passed above the 19310 levels, I had to go long today - because the momentum was in favor of the bulls.
As it stands Nifty has made its 3rd attempt to break away from the bearish channel. Remember the first 2 attempts were rejected wherein Nifty was pulled back. Today’s price action is quite different - the leap in points came during trading and not by gap-up signifying a shift in the sentiment.
Opening gap-up and then not sustaining is just euphoria & will fade out pretty soon, whereas the gains or pains made during trading hours shows mass market acceptance. The number of green hourly candles today = 5 and the red ones = 2 with no body. Nifty is back at the 19450 levels, something already tested on 30th Aug.
If you were also short like me for today, there is a high possibility that you would have run into losses just like me. What we need to learn from this is - we hope and plan for X to happen and most likely Y happens. If trading was that easy, then everybody would have made it.
As it stands, I change my stance from bearish to 60% bullish & 40% neutral for Monday 04 Sep. The moment 19564 gets taken out my stance will be 100% bullish
Bài đăng liên quan
Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và ấn phẩm không có nghĩa là và không cấu thành, tài chính, đầu tư, kinh doanh, hoặc các loại lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị khác được cung cấp hoặc xác nhận bởi TradingView. Đọc thêm trong Điều khoản sử dụng.