Arguably one of the hottest (if not the hottest) stock in 2023 has been NVDIA Corporation (NVDA), currently sitting at roughly + 570% from its October 2022 market bottom. Our December 18 2023 long (see chart below) hit its target, with the price even soaring higher:
The question is, will it keep rising or finally give way to a proper correction or at best consolidation? Based on the vastly overbought 1W RSI (84.00), we are approaching levels of May 2022, which gave way to July's consolidation.
That consolidation however (July - December 2023) is identical to those of September 2020 - March 2021 and January - April 2017. All three consolidation phases took place in the middle of a Channel Up, broke below the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) but found Support and rebounded on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). Note that between all Channel Up patterns a strong correction took place that reached as low as the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). The correction phase was confirmed only after the price broke below the 1W MA50.
As a result, as long as the 1D MA100 holds and closes all 1W candles above it (or at worst the 1W MA50), we expect NVDIA to hit at least $1150, which would represent a rise marginally below +207.00% from the consolidation's bottom. As you can see on the chart, the previous 2 Channel Up patterns, peaked on the same % range (+207% and +210%) from their respective consolidations.
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