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NXT - 2 Possible Outcomes

POLONIEX:NXTUSD   NXT / Dollar (calculated by TradingView)
Hopefully this screenshot works on here, I'm still trying to figure website out. However, I'm going to be posting a few possibilities that we have here, and they may be very very different, so it is important to watch closely and pay attention to all the indicators.

My view on this whole situation has changed. This first scenario to me seems the most likely. What makes my first analysis change is the crossover from the initial wave 4 into the zone of Wave 1. What this MACD is telling us is that we have 5 initial waves in the beginning, starting in Late november. You can even confirm this on the RSI , two very important indicators. What this leads me to believe is is that we are on course for 2 separate waves trending upwards, and what we witnessed was our first initial impulse wave followed by wave 2. Now I'm using the Poloniex chart again even though I use Bittrex, but this chart is just the one that makes the most sense to me.

If this is the case. It is very important that we break through the 75 cent resistance line. NXT is moving very correlated to Bitcoin             right now, and I'm actually using it too hedge the progress of Bitcoin             . Now, what matters here the most is market sentiment. Right now it is very bullish , and the progress of the Bitcoin Futures             has not made the world burn just yet. That's why my target for Bitcoin             still remains around the 21k-22k mark, and I think NXT should follow that pattern. Wave 2 retraced to a .786 Fib level, it is not uncommon, but what we have to recognize most is the market sentiment. When it retraced back to that level, Bitcoin             was tanking, and so was the rest of the market. So in that case, it is not uncommon at all. Now when the market converts from a very short term bearish market to a bull market very quickly, like what we have seen, sometimes in the crypto market - extended wave 3s happen (because everyone loves that good ol' FOMO), and it gives room for larger retraces for Wave 4. So we must also watch out for that. However, if this is a second sub wave forming, then we have this possibility. It forms with the idea of Bitcoin             breaking the $17,000 level again and heading for new highs. So make sure you keep up with the price of Bitcoin             and overall sentiment.

So for this argument, Are first target is aiming for anywhere between $0.77 and $0.89. And a support line of the top of wave 1 will confirm this for us. Our second target will then go upwards of $1.05. BUT, This is all contingent on how Bitcoin             does. Next update will be possibility #2.

Bình luận: Testing out the screenshot:
/Users/Apple/Desktop/Screen Shot 2017-12-11 at 12.26.11 PM.png
Bình luận:

BAM got it. lol I am a novice at this.

Okay, so here is the second scenario. This isn't the first time NXT has seen a large impulse, it's actually what put them on the map. But what scares me the most about this is that it would change every one of these waves to now be one full wave, meaning we have already seen the peak. And all this run would be is an extreme headfake and we all burn in hell as it lowers and lowers and lowers in price. Now, I don't think I favor this outcome, but it is still VERY possible.

What defers me from this is the total accumulation faze that it had after its first initial peak, It was far too long and retraced a great amount of its initial gain. And for Waves 3 and 5 to be so quick and extended it kind of throws me off. But this market is a fast one, and we have to be ready for anything. Now, what supports this, is the scenario that Bitcoin is also giving a headfake, and is headed to hell as well. Bitcoin has broken all types of resistances and has an incredible amount of bullishness behind it. Bitcoin is due, but I don't see that happening just yet. I will probably upload my projection of Bitcoin. But hell, with Bitcoin, 90% of analyst get it wrong. I want to play this one out and see where it goes. But these are two very critical out comes and the possibility of this re-entering a fib level of .618 downward of $.35 is not a 0% chance. It's just something to be aware, and should make you very cautious right now.
Bình luận: I also just noticed that on the first picture I have 5 waves above the subwaves listed in parentheses. Do not pat attention to that as that was a mistake. it was suppose to be deleted.
Bình luận: Very important moment right now. NXT will either need to hit another wave 5 along with Bitcoin and breach the $0.75 area or hold its .328 retrace if Bitcoin retraces from this major wave (unlikely) or my skepticism of this coin will increase. Also sorry for the grammar mistakes, English is not my first language. My first language is Ebonics. I freaking spelled the word "phase" as "faze." I think being a D1-Football playing - Finance 'majoring' - Crypto currency trader is getting to me.
Bình luận: Doesn't look too good for Bitcoin in the short term (next day). BTC hit my stop loss and NXT has been showing to act very funky in this correction period. I have the feeling it may drop before It has the chance of breaking resistance. I'm out of the trade and I will re-enter when my faith in cryptomanity is restored (so in a couple of hours), or at-least until resistance is broken. I'm being very cautious about this play.
Bình luận: Think I will be re-entering this trade soon. Check out my update on Bitcoin and I think this should follow suit.
Bình luận: We are forming an ascending wedge, a HUGE Buy wall at 3800. Looks like it will be outpaced by Bitcoin. Not quite sure whats going on, but we should see a short-term drop in price. (accidentally commented this)
Bình luận: Mind has completely shifted to Ardor (Partner of NXT). It stole the show. I just caught its most recent wave after I noticed that biggg accumulation phase. I think its poised for 2 more waves upward, it's consolidating at the .618 levels with low volume so it gives me a lot of hope. Still a risky trade but check it out if you are interested.
Bình luận: Nevermind on that Note...
Bình luận: Broke Resistance.
Bình luận:

As this unravels, scenario 1 is looking like what what we're getting here. The previous run up from $0.41 was still a part of the correction. I'll update with another picture of what happened.

I think we finished wave 1 and are on course for wave 3 after this correction stopped at the .618 level. New targets:

Target 1 range:
$0.86 - $0.92

Target 2 Range:
$0.98 - $1.05
Bình luận:
Bình luận:

Love using NXT as my secondary indicator to BTC.
Both just finished Wave 2 correction and are headed onto wave 3.
Dear lord baby jesus don't play games with me now.
Target 1 ($0.86+) Here we come!
Bình luận: First time i've ever seen LTC affect the market hahaha. Hopefully you guys bought in on that dip! :D
Bình luận: Not quite sure what is going on here. Looks like it is following a post wave 5 correction.
Bình luận: Guys!! WE HIT OUR TARGET 1 RANGE OF $0.86 EXACTLY. Just the tip though! The good news?? I think my original wave analysis 3 pictures up was correct and we should be hitting $1.05 soon! I will update with a picture of what is going on! Congrats if you got in for target 1! It was very annoying because it took FOREVER to correct.
Bình luận:

Update #7875
Alright, So this target is similar to the first one. But I have to say, we have seen some ODD things from this coin as far as waves and corrections go. So all that I am going to say is that because of this odd activity, I think we are just going to get 2 subwaves in this wave 3. And I will update A new target after this target is hit, If the correction is in favor of this being a wave 3, INSTEAD of just a 2-part subwave.

Keep in mind, I am coming from the idea that we are still on a PRIMARY wave 3, and not a new wave 1 or 5 or whatever. You'll see wave 1 to the left in the white, that is what I am referring to. So because I don't want to assume an extended 3rd wave, I'm just going with 2 subwaves UNTIL we are proven otherwise.

SO, that being said, our target 2 is similar to the first overall projection, It's just going to take a different path:

Target Range:
$1.045 - $1.11

Precise Target:
$1.079

New Entry:
$0.74 - $0.80

Stop Loss:
$0.685

RR: 3.36
(From Middle of Entry to Precise Target)
Chance to Gain:
39.19%
Chance to Lose:
11.67%

Probability: High. I mean Snoop Dogg High.
Kryptonite: Bitcoin
Everything can literally go perfect and Bitcoin can trash it.
Good Luck
Bình luận: GREAT Wave 3! Guys we are PERFECTLY on target, If you look on the chart, that wave 3 was sitting right at $0.98. Guess what we just hit?? 98 Cents. I am starting to get concerned for my well being, because I'm doing this too much...

LEMME HEAR A 'CASH MONEY'. I sold at that peak right there and I am READY for our wave 5! $1.07 Here we come!
Bình luận: HOLY CRAP THAT WASNT THE PEAK. Are we gonna get an extended 3rd??? Guys this thing is gonna crush through our target Box!
Đóng lệnh: đạt mục tiêu: GUYS I'm such a dumbass.. That WAS wave 5!! HAHAHA. Yo I just missed out on an extra 13% because I miscounted and wasn't freaking patient. But c'mon.. Who would have guess that extended 5th? But GUYS, AGAIN, WE HIT OUR THE VERY TOP OF OUR TARGET BOX AT $1.11!! I'm JUICED. GIMME A "HELLL YURRR". I swear this is like doing drugs... But HERE is the best part. WE AREN'T DONE.

You guys thought that Risk to Reward ratio was nice?? Wait until you see this one!

RR: 5.84
Chance to Gain: 74.29% (Yes, really)
Chance to Lose: 12.72%

Entry Level: $0.88 - $0.945
Stop Loss: $0.775

Target 1: $1.36

Target 2: $1.49 - $1.58
Precise Target: $1.54

Timeframe: Possibly 1 week
Probability: Completely contingent on how Bitcoin does... I have Bitcoin on a limited time frame (Check out my latest Bitcoin post, been pretty accurate so far), I just don't know how long it will take NXT to correct. So that being said, I am NOT buying into the correction (entry level) until I see a break upwards for our next wave.



Really guys, counting waves on NXT might even be harder than counting waves on Bitcoin. Even though I've predicted 2-3 targets exactly, this coin has thrown me for a loop. We fell 10 cents short of my previous target and that is unacceptable in my opinion. And I'm going to destroy this thing. Right now, I think this thing is done for a while.

BUT i am going to set up a long-term position here because I think we will have the chance of a 200% return. Right now NXT is having a very sharp correction, and I expect it to follow suit with Bitcoin like how it has in the past. This correction prediction is pretty free lance, but to me its safe to assume an ABCDE correction that might tunnel into a MASSIVE descending triangle. If I'm right, all of you will owe me vodka shots. But literally, WHO the hell knows how this will correct.

I just expect it to at least hit my correction targets from between $0.68 and $0.78.
It could very well go lower.

There is no stop loss on here. I'm doing this for a long-term hold. This thing has the jaws of wealth and I'm NOT going to miss it.

Our target will be north of $2. Just don't come in too early and be patient. A lot of people think things will only correct for hours. Guys, this thing just gained like 1,200% in one MONTH. Give it some time and relax, the market likes to foreplay before it goes all in.
Phản hồi
We are forming an ascending wedge, a HUGE Buy wall at 3800. Looks like it will be outpaced by Bitcoin. Not quite sure whats going on, but we should see a short-term drop in price.
Phản hồi
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