Render's Rally ending? Trading Insights & Retrace Aspects
The rally in Render appears to be reaching its conclusion. Over the past few months, Render has been an intriguing trading token, outperforming BTC by surging from 0.9 to its monthly resistance level of 2.93 (Bybit).
Based on my wave count analysis, it seems that we are approaching the end of the rally at this resistance point. I observe a potential ending diagonal pattern, consisting of a fifth wave within a fifth wave within a fifth wave, characterized by declining volume. A final upward push towards the monthly resistance, accompanied by RSI divergence, could serve as a short trigger. Alternatively, a more cautious approach would be to wait for the breach of the extreme point of wave 3 within the ending diagonal.
If a retracement occurs, the target could be a return to the previous fourth wave of a lower degree. This area coincides with a monthly resistance level, Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level, and the fixed range point of control for wave 4 according to my highest count degree.
In conclusion, the success of this swing trade will depend on the extent of the upward movement before encountering divergences or a reversal. If realized, this trade has the potential for a risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 3.85.
I will closely monitor Render for further signs of weakness, which could present a short-selling opportunity, or to observe if it breaks through the monthly support level accompanied by notable volume
Based on my wave count analysis, it seems that we are approaching the end of the rally at this resistance point. I observe a potential ending diagonal pattern, consisting of a fifth wave within a fifth wave within a fifth wave, characterized by declining volume. A final upward push towards the monthly resistance, accompanied by RSI divergence, could serve as a short trigger. Alternatively, a more cautious approach would be to wait for the breach of the extreme point of wave 3 within the ending diagonal.
If a retracement occurs, the target could be a return to the previous fourth wave of a lower degree. This area coincides with a monthly resistance level, Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level, and the fixed range point of control for wave 4 according to my highest count degree.
In conclusion, the success of this swing trade will depend on the extent of the upward movement before encountering divergences or a reversal. If realized, this trade has the potential for a risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 3.85.
I will closely monitor Render for further signs of weakness, which could present a short-selling opportunity, or to observe if it breaks through the monthly support level accompanied by notable volume