Silver prices (XAG/USD) are experiencing a significant decline, approaching the $22.00 mark, driven by signals from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell and colleagues indicating a willingness to implement additional interest rate hikes in pursuit of a more restrictive monetary policy stance.
Jerome Powell's recent statements, affirming the Fed's readiness to raise interest rates further to maintain price stability, contrast with the uncertainties expressed by Fed policymakers Mary Daly and Thomas Barkin, who remain unsure about the necessity of interest rate hikes. Concurrently, apprehensions preceding the release of US inflation data for October have contributed to keeping silver prices subdued. As per expectations, the Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the month and year is anticipated to exhibit steady growth at 0.3% and 4.1%, respectively.
The US Dollar has strengthened in anticipation of inflation data, with a potential drop in the inflation rate to 2% heightening hawkish sentiments at the Fed. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is striving to surpass the immediate resistance level of 106.00. In European trading, S&P500 futures have recorded additional losses, reflecting a risk-averse market sentiment. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury bond has risen to approximately 4.65%.
Technical Analysis of Silver Silver prices continue their downward trajectory post a test of the breakdown of consolidation within the $22.37-23.70 range on the four-hour chart. Short-term demand for the precious metal remains muted as it has dipped below the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), hovering around $22.70.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has entered the oversold range of 20.00-40.00, signaling the activation of downward momentum.
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