We have been following Sasol sins the climax lows in 2020 indicating a target of R200 - see the progression of posts below. We have reached the target and now we are seeing active signs of distribution. After a climax in March, there was a strong secondary test but the next upthrust (UT) on volume made no progress (Effort without Response) indicating selling by the big players. A change in character was seen in June with an increased downward spread on volume making signs of weakness (SOW). The latest attempt to rally could not break the 50SMA and after a key reversal bar, it is time for Sasol to drop potentially retracing all the gains of the last year.
