Look, I am no economist, but the QQQ flirting with all time highs same as the S&P with a downward series of highs for second peak.. Plus, with news articles (and jim cramer) screaming BUY BUY BUY that is a bubble to me and do not get caught with your pants down in the next big drop. Yes, I am overall bearish but would prefer to be bullish. Nobody has successfully made the case why we should be bullish for the next 6 months. Short term, the economy is in bad shape. Posting retail numbers that are "not as bad as we thought" are still ignoring how bad they actually are! The fed pumping can only do so much to keep asset prices inflated. This time folks, we have painted ourselves into a corner. Continued gains in indexes will be met with serious selling resistance.
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