Real Estate Is Rolling Over

15 thg 2, 2022

Today we are taking a look at the Case Shiller Home Index on a year-over-year chart as well as a price chart and using basic, long-term technicals to identify issues and opportunities. I believe we are heading into a recession over the next few years but we will have to see what crazy government program is created to fight that recession that maybe boosts housing back up. Don't forget in 2009 they were printing a ton of money and it didn't save the housing market. I believe home prices on a national level will fall between 25-30% by July 2025 and July 2026. This will depend on if we get UBI, a war, or major hikes in interest rates to fight inflation. Although, I don't believe the FED can hike rates too high because we can't afford the interest on the debt then due to the short-term rollovers.

Overall, I am bullish on cash flow real estate in growing areas with growing incomes that have freedom in mind. These areas are experiencing growth at a high rate but some of them are getting overheated. On a national level, I expect this all to play out over 3.5-5 years.

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