BoonHooi

USDJPY - Completes the Shark, now to go long

Giá lên
BoonHooi Cập nhật   
FX:USDJPY   Đô la Mỹ / Yên Nhật
Since the beginning of Feb, this USDJPY pair has been good to me.
1. Started off with a bullish butterfly
2. A good short on the Shark
I believe that this pair has completed the down move, and is now ready for the next up move.
(See past related ideas)

The Shark Pattern has just completed at the 112.00 level.
The other reasons for me to take this long are :
- A small double bottom on the H1 at the Shark Pattern PRZ
- Bullish divergence on the H1 RSI, RSI bounced off the OS zone
- Candles stabalised in the PRZ and has now started to tick up

Although a little late, I believe that the risk reward is good.
EP = 112.33
SL = 112.83 (50 pips)
TP = 113.68 (138 pips) at the resistance
Giao dịch đang hoạt động:
Woke up this morning with a floating profits of close to +50pips, but now at the point of writing it is only about +20pips.

My entry to go long was triggered when it broke above the resistance TL. I have shared many times in my classes that a natural phenomenon in the Forex market is that resistance levels will naturally turn into profits (& vice versa). Pric did indeed came back to test the TL for another opportunity to go long. See chart below.


Now I have added the Bollinger Band indicator to have a feel of the pair. As long as price stays in the upper band, I will continue to be bullish. If it crosses and closes in the lower band, I could be looking to exit this trade.

Indicators are our friends to help us trade. Heed what they hint.
Bình luận:
@khaled75, @marcus1983, @ammar_meza,
Thanks for pointing out this, my SL is at 111.83. Typo....

I see a 2618 setup. Double bottom, price breaks above the neck line, does a retracement of a 61.8% for another buy trigger. Hoping these set of buyers will eventually push price higher.


Price is now below the BBand, giving it a more bearish tone. I am still staying with this trade.
Đóng lệnh: dừng lỗ:
Trade closed with a 50pips loss.
Lesson learnt, I was in denial and hoping for a rebound off 112.00.
The bearish signs were there since 112.40
Bình luận:
Bitter Sweet taste. USDJPY is by far my favourite pair so far this year.
My views were correct but got stopped out first before the move started.


Lessons learn:
- Stops should be at the right place, don't be stingy by trying to place a smaller stops. The market will kick you out of the trade before it moves.
- Check out the Nikkei225 index, it has a high correlation with USDJPY
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