Inflation Rate against CPI Index

As you can see - all crashes on SPX have been synced with the above chart dipping big time.

What do we have now ? The chart hasn't even gone down - yet SPX has dipped -27%.
The difference between SPX's TOP and the start of declining of Inflation Rate / CPI is of an average 15-18% decline on SPX.

The only problem is that we haven't even started properly declining (circled area).

Two assumptions based on this - Either we still have time in this market and this was just a correction...

or...


... the fall will be huge.

Personally expecting markets to recover a bit and soon inflation rate will spike down together with SPX falling.

Not investing big time before seeing a proper spike down.


Cheers!

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Another observation - From SPX TOP to the Declining we always had 9 months (except on the rushing Covid crash) - From there we need to monitor Inflation to dip and start investing again.
We are at 8 months now.