JerryManders

Vorhees

Giá lên
JerryManders Cập nhật   
TVC:VIX   Chỉ số Dao động S&P 500
In July I posted a prediction that VIX would break down August 1st and my target at the time was 14-15. However, it is known that the V is for Vorhees, he doesn't stay down and controlled for long, bullish Navaro200 nested in larger bullish Navaro - as well as harmonic on the stochastic (and severely oversold) - indicates we will see a spike in the coming weeks to the 0.618... Expectations:

- Activation level is 21.18, if closes above that expect explosive spike to 24 minimum but likely 29-30
- If fails to activate then it could continue down to 14-16 level but that would be awkward with the SPY showing signs of near-term pullback on a wave 4 following this local blowout top (should see the downside begin early to mid week (16th seems most likely)

- If activates and hits 29-30, will likely bullback to retest 24 in sychronicity with SPY wave 5 late August/early Sep.
- After this it has the setup to breakout temporarily through the equilibrium point where supply = demand (around Sep 26 2022) - this would be in syncronicity with an ABC corrective wave in the SPY before it begins larger degree wave II
- Depending on the extent of SPY ABC (i.e. 0.5 or 0.618, or 0.786), VIX goal target in early October is 36-47 (possibly even 51).. It will die again from there like Friday the 13th and likely around Halloween.

Last part is a joke but the rest is no cap.
Playing Aug 26 VXX calls for exposure to this move, will sell when VIX hits 29-30 and then re-enter October calls upon a realized bounce at 24 end of August.
#NoTfInAnCiAlAdViCe
Bình luận:
close below 18.56 is the stop on the bullish harmonic
Bình luận:
time to drop

Ý tưởng liên quan

Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm

Thông tin và ấn phẩm không có nghĩa là và không cấu thành, tài chính, đầu tư, kinh doanh, hoặc các loại lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị khác được cung cấp hoặc xác nhận bởi TradingView. Đọc thêm trong Điều khoản sử dụng.