Analysis of gold price trend on Monday

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In the Asian market on Monday, spot gold fluctuated slightly and is currently around 2410. As former US President Trump was shot in the right ear at a campaign rally last Saturday, the possibility of him regaining the White House throne has increased. The market expects that betting on his victory will increase in the coming week, which provides support for the US dollar index and puts slight pressure on gold prices.

Investors are increasingly confident that the Fed will cut interest rates soon after the unexpectedly weaker CPI data in the US, although the PPI data remains strong and has not changed the general expectation of a rate cut in September. After the unexpected decline in US consumer prices, the data reinforces the view that the downward trend in inflation has resumed and raises hopes for a rate cut by the Fed. Pushing gold higher!

Focus on changes in market sentiment after Trump's attack, pay attention to the July New York Fed manufacturing index, pay attention to speeches by Fed officials, pay attention to speeches by multiple Fed officials, pay attention to news related to the geopolitical situation and news related to the US election.

Technical side

The price of gold in the short-term four-hour chart extended the MA10 daily average. The price opened normally this morning and was not affected by the weekend event. The temporary price is around 2410. At the beginning of this week, it will fluctuate at a high position under the trend of Duotou. It is difficult to see a big rise or fall during the week. Therefore, short-term trading is the main focus this week!

Asian trading strategy:
Short-term gold 2393-2395 long, stop loss 2384, target 2415-2425;

Short-term gold 2418-2420 short, stop loss 2429, target 2400-2390;
Note: The above strategy was updated on July 15. This strategy is an Asian strategy. Please pay attention to the validity period of the strategy release. The NY time strategy is waiting for update
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