AUDCAD Bearish unless the 1D MA200 breaks

The AUDCAD pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the April 05 2022 High. Four days ago, it made a Lower High on the Channel Down and got rejected just below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), while also forming a Death Cross (when the MA50 crosses below the MA200). The 1D MACD is about to make a Bearish Cross, so it times well for a Sell trade to a new Lower Low, despite the significance of the 0.89100 Support, towards the 1.182 and 1.382 Fibonacci extension levels (the latter only if after a bounce the 0.89100 level rejects an uptrend attempt.

On the other hand, if the price breaks and closes an 1D candle above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), as it did in late February 2022, be ready to counter with a buy, targeting the 2.0 Fibonacci extension around 0.94500.

P.S. See a longer-term picture as presented by our last AUDCAD idea almost 2 months ago that based on a 2020/21 fractal, it hit its target:





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