BTCUSD - Price bounce off EMA 200 but I think it will test again

As you can see the price just hit the EMA 200 and was bounced off of it, Bulls are exhausted so I think it is only a matter of time before it is able to cross the EMA 200 and as you can see the bullish trend is already broken on 18th of April, now if you check the monthly chart, Evening Doji Star has formed and just waiting for this month to close to confirm.
I think BTCUSD is gonna go to 30k in the next few months it might bounced up to 55k but only temporarily before it tests the 42-40k demand area

This is my first published idea, please give me feedback and tell me what you think.

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The price is under the SMA 200 now daily, it closed under it and couldn't recover, I think the price now is gonna go sideways until it goes to 30k again.