It has been a busy weekend on my end hence I did not post any new analysis/update any of my existing content, for that reason I want to post a new analysis with my updated thoughts as my previous primary analysis went against what I had predicted, so I will try again and hopefully and attempt to gage the market condition properly this time. Bitcoin has had some great pumping which was done in such a way where it was so subtle that it looked fake, but it indeed pumped! I was almost taken by surprise actually. Obviously no short position was taken due to the pump earlier in the weekend, and no long was taken either as I was not sure if the pump was legitimate due to Bitcoin's technical position in the trend. So, no loss, but no gain either. I did however buy a few altcoins over the weekend which are now all running into profit which compensates for missing the move I suppose :-).
Bitcoin is trading at 6597 as we speak, which directly coincides with a resistance zone that has had an affect on price since the 20th June. If price breaks above the resistance zone, more specifically the actually monthly high at 6844, it'll be the highest prices seen in over a month and this is great news for the coin. Naturally, if price breaks the resistance zone we don't want to just jump in. Let's wait for a retest of the resistance zone to be retested as a support before jumping in. This is so that we are not buying on an overextended pump leg where the stop loss would have to be huge already, also a retest on the resistance zone turned support would prove that the pump was legitimate and the bull run also has some longevity to it, which fake runs usually lack.
An alternative scenario is that the pump pauses at the horizontal resistance zone mentioned. It corrects to the side-wards support line of the triangle found at 6480 or the bottom boundary of the triangle at 6240, or lowest pullback could be the horizontal support zone at 5790 before going up once again. I see a retest at approximately 6480 or 6240 as ore logical and I doubt we'll see the horizontal support at 5790 again for a while.
Where do YOU think price is headed? Feel free to leave a chart and comment in the comments section so we can share our thoughts!
I will update this analysis as Bitcoins moves progress.
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