Bitcoin factor indicator accuracy is 83%

BTCUSD
The Bitcoin is entirely speculation? Fundamentals support the price of it?
The Bitcoin is not entirely speculation, it is the price of the fundamentals.
The Bitcoin factor indicator is calculated by Bitcoin fundamental factor, it can reflect how much of the Bitcoin price is supported by the fundamentals.
The green line is the Bitcoin factor in the chart, the trend of it are in conformity with the price, the orange line is the yearly correlation coefficient between the Bitcoin price and the Bitcoin factor, most of the time in the vicinity of 0.8, shows that the Bitcoin prices are mostly by the Bitcoin factor influence.
Yellow line is Bitcoin forecast price, the Bitcoin factor, and the linear regression method are used to calculate. You can see, the prices fluctuating around the predicted price, it is in line with the principle of price fluctuates around value.
The purple line is determination coefficients (R2) of 10 years logarithmic Bitcoin predicted price, which represents the prediction accuracy, the value of 83% in November 2, 2021.
The blue line is warning index, which swings between -1 to 2, red background when early warning index greater than 1.4, the price in the peak, said green background when early warning index is less than -0.4, the price in the trough.
On November 2, 2021, the early warning index of 1.73, in the red background area, shows that the Bitcoin price at peak, please pay attention to risk.

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Buy.