An update on the monthly log channel chart from April

10 thg 12, 2023

I posted this chart idea originally all the way back in april when I discovered that all the major tapas and bottoms of the market since the 2017 top until now are all in a very clear set of rising channels seen best on the 1 month log chart as shown here. We can see since that time in April, Bitcoin has now broken back upward and is very close to retesting this super strong trendline just above it currently around 47-48k. This trendline is likely to be significant resistance, however there is a chance during a moment of extreme fomo where we could break above this trendline and retest the lighter green ascending trendline with a wick which is currently sitting around 56-58k on the current monthly candle. Ultimately my guess is the trendline just above current price action at the 48k zone is likely to maintain candle body resistance and lead to the next big market correction. It may even maintain wick resistance too but I still believe we can possibly wick above it and retest the trendline just above it with a wick before ultimately closing whichever candle gets above it’s candle body below the 48k trendline. Once this happens, the first zone I’m going to be watching to hold support is at the 1month 50ma shown here in orange. There’s a decent chance we could correct even lower than that but that will be the first zone I watch for a potential reversal back into the uptrend. For now though I think it’s completely possible to go as high as the 56-58k zone with a wick while still maintaining the trendline just above this current area as resistance but I wont be surprised if that trendline at 48k is so powerful we cant even get a wick above it either. Both seem quite probable to me at this point. I am going to attach a link to my original channel idea on this update as well so you can see where this channel discovery originated from. *not financial advice*

2 thg 1

Ghi chú

Tops not tapas :P Although tapas do sound delicious.

11 thg 1

Ghi chú

We can see now how price action has tested the exact overhead green trendline. Normally this would be significant resistance. Will be interesting to see how it reacts to this resistance now that 1 spot ETFs have just gotten approved.

16 thg 4

Ghi chú

On this current dump you can see how if you click play o the chart it found precise wick support after retesting the lighter green trendline. Hopefully this will ultimately hold candle body support.

28 thg 9

Ghi chú

If you click play you will see that the current resistance is the lighter green trendline.