Industrial stocks have outperformed in recent months as investors shift toward cyclicals. Today’s chart focuses on Caterpillar, a potential beneficiary of infrastructure spending in the U.S. and a recovery in China.
The first patterns are the pair of highs from the last two years. CAT challenged $237.90 (the peak from April 2022) several times in November before breaking through in December. The stock bounced at the same level early this year, which may suggest old resistance is new support. (See the small white arrows on the chart.)
Next is the June 2021 high of $246.69. Prices jumped through that level to a new high on Friday. They retested on Monday and are trying to hold it today. (Additionally, the weekly chart had a bullish outside candle.)
You also have a gap higher on October 27 after earnings and revenue beat estimates. Four weeks later, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA.
Finally, MACD has turned positive again after a month of declines.
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