Chevron Corporation
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Rotation from tech to energy

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Sure tech can have another couple % up as the rotation is underway, but this chart looks quite convincing to me especially with the weekly bullish div on the macd.

Then we have a bullish engulfing weekly candle...

Atop of that, last week Cramer said this oil rally should be faded.

Buffet has been buying oil (oxy) which is also an interesting play. Although he is not an immediate reversal signal, it shows that the valuation of these companies is at a good area in his eyes.

I would love a small pullback tomorrow but I am not sure we get that. The entry now is not bad, the stoploss would be below the channel which is only 5% loss ish, for an implied 30+% move up.
Ghi chú
I got in today on the pullback @156.84
Ghi chú
On the small and insignificant timer frames we have a breakout and a retest completed.

ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
Okay so here is oil. I do think we may get some sort of fake out to the downside here, in the short term, 1 to 2 weeks timeframe. 62 dollars or so, which would be a wick after the day ends.

50/50 chance on this, like anything else.

That being said, The long term for oil if were following a markup like the prior 2 cycles, would send oil close to 500 before a deep correction back to 130 ish, and then settling out at 250 ish.

I dont make the rules, I just take a look at history and see how it may rhyme.

ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
Doubled down today. all in oil at this point.
Ghi chú
Rest of market falls and oil is breaking out of a falling wedge.

The stocks eventually follow. they already are, somewhat.

ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
thats a breakout of the rectangle now, on oil.

ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
I have a hunch were going to break out of the range on this attempt, but you could still take some off the table at the top of the range just in case.>>

Supposing we do break through, another 20-30% up from there before a pullback IMO>>>>

ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
Trash price action in oil and oil stocks. lower before higher IMO
Ghi chú
Will consider buying at the next support.

ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
Yeah its turning out to be a bear flag...

ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
Another possibility is a smaller pullback to this yellow channel trendline.

ảnh chụp nhanh

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