1-Month Treasury may decrease around 2024-01 to 2026-01
The 1-Month Treasury may or may not decrease around 2024-01 to 2026-01.
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"Aug 30, 2022 Reminder":
"At the time of writing (see chart below this comment for inverted yield curve), 2022-08-30, it appears that the "3-month Treasury" is still increasing well above the "10-month Treasury"; which may not be a favorable outcome in 3 to 24 months"... "Meaning around 2022-11 to 2023-03 to around 2024-09 at the very latest; based off of the time of writing this analysis. "
Inverted Yield Curve Monitor: US 3-month versus 10-Year Treasury:
"At the time of writing (see chart below this comment for inverted yield curve), 2022-08-30, it appears that the "3-month Treasury" is still increasing well above the "10-month Treasury"; which may not be a favorable outcome in 3 to 24 months"... "Meaning around 2022-11 to 2023-03 to around 2024-09 at the very latest; based off of the time of writing this analysis. "
Inverted Yield Curve Monitor: US 3-month versus 10-Year Treasury:
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1-Month Treasury may decrease around 2024-01 to 2026-01
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This is a nice debt-to-GDP chart (make note):
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"Aug 30, 2022 Reminder":
"may not be a favorable outcome"... "2022-11 to 2023-03 to around 2024-09 at the very latest".
For the other topic of common economic measurements: best ETA 2024-01 to 2024-03 for the onset. There should be more visibility by those dates. By 2024-09 there should be greater visibility. It seems as 2025-01 to 2025-03 may have even more economic visibility.
"may not be a favorable outcome"... "2022-11 to 2023-03 to around 2024-09 at the very latest".
For the other topic of common economic measurements: best ETA 2024-01 to 2024-03 for the onset. There should be more visibility by those dates. By 2024-09 there should be greater visibility. It seems as 2025-01 to 2025-03 may have even more economic visibility.
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green indicators reflect possible increase (short-term) (may shift any day)
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2024-01 or 2025-01
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1-week view with 1-day top indicator signaling a possible decline position on the daily:
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still entering the predicted yellow line zone
1D (1D top indicator):
1D (1D top indicator):
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Inflation is so sticky and elevated, it's possible that rates will remain unexpectedly higher than historical trends.
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Indicator used for 2023-05-25 update:
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This time (ETA: 2024-01-01 to 2024-04-04)... I expect the rates to shift at the very last minute when most needed. There may not be too much of a predictive notice this time.
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I expect 2024 will have no
FEDFUNDS
cuts (flat all year); due to sticky inflation from global challenges.
FEDFUNDS
cuts (flat all year); due to sticky inflation from global challenges.
" Bitcoin may go down more like 95%, 96%. Dent expects the crypto market may crash alongside stocks, with BTC falling up to 95%-96% from its November 2021 high. "