DXY to call ECB's bluff

The broad based dollar index has held up well and the 200-day MA support level at 104.43 is keeping the dollar from further depreciation. The DXY is looking set to make another leg higher if the ECB serve markets with a rate cut this week.

The ECB, along with the Bank of England, has been very outspoken recently that they plan to diverge from the Fed’s monetary policy path and that their economies are almost at a point in which they can start cutting rates. This week provides the opportune time for the ECB to put their euros where their mouth is, but we can expect another strong dollar rally if they actually do…