I don't want to provide a prediction, sorry for the click bait title. I have found that a logarithmic 12hour chart of ETH/USD stays inside the 400 period bollinger bands very nicely and always rides the top of the band in a bull run, bounces off the 400 period ma, and only dips below the ma when it's headed for the bottom of the band. IE bearish territory. It's crossed below the 400 period ma now, bottom of the band would be 3080 +- YIKES.