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EUR/TRY hinders near channel boundary

FX:EURTRY   Euro / Lia Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
The common European currency has been trading against the Turkish Lira in two ascending channels simultaneously. The junior pattern was formed as a result of the rate remaining at a relatively stable position during the past two weeks. As apparent on the chart, the Euro has failed to overcome a resistance area located near the 4.2189 mark.

During the last trading hours, the rate has been stranded in a narrow range between the 100– and 200-hour SMAs; thus, a breakout might occur in any direction. In case the pair succeeds at surpassing the 100-hour SMA and the weekly PP circa 4.20, it might appreciate until the aforementioned resistance area.

The base scenario, however, favours a soon movement southwards. This would comply with characteristics of the senior channel. In addition, it is apparent that the pair has failed to reach the upper boundary of the junior pattern during the last week. The closest downside target is the weekly S1 at 4.1701.
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