EURUSD advanced on Monday

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EURUSD advanced on Monday, clearing both its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages near 1.0785. If this bullish breakout is sustained, overhead resistance stretches from 1.0805 to 1.0810. While overcoming this barrier may pose a challenge for bulls, a move beyond it could lead to relatively clear sailing towards 1.0865, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the 2023 selloff.

Conversely, if sellers mount a comeback and drive the pair below the previously mentioned simple moving average indicators, sentiment towards the euro could start souring, creating the right conditions for a pullback towards 1.0725 and 1.0695 thereafter. Additional losses below this crucial floor could trigger a descent towards 1.0650, May’s trough.

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EURUSD broke through and is still holding above the important 200 EMA resistance mark at 1.0800 after the US April PPI data was released.
The pair is still reacting to the upper boundary of the symmetrical triangle pattern formed on the daily chart. This border is drawn from the high on December 28 around 1.1140, whereas the lower border comes from the low on October 3 at 1.0448.

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On the daily time frame, EURUSD reversed below the 1.0880 resistance, coinciding with the upper border of the descending channel. If the price maintains its bearish momentum with a bearish break of the 1.0780 support, the price could fall further towards the 1.0650 support. Conversely, if the price breaks out of the descending channel and the 1.0880 resistance to the upside (bullish breakout), it could push the next potential resistance level at 1.1000 further. The RSI indicator is fluctuating near the overbought zone, suggesting that the potential for further price increases is limited.