EURUSD
has been trading in relatively tight range - this range will be resolved as dollar direction after this crisis becomes clear. Expect 1.05-1.15 to be neutral with a break sub 1.05 indicating parity if not break sub 1. Trigger will be the situation in Italy and the support (or lack thereof) by the EU.
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Still in that tight painful range - a large move is imminent
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1.13 is critical
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Post the EU recovery fund agreement I expect to see difficulty breaking 1.15 (buy rumour sell the news)