- most experts and graphical analysis on H1 tended to believe that EUR/USD would take a breather and move in a sideways channel of 1.0650-1.0850. In fact, as predicted, the pair neither fell below 1.0675 nor rose over 1.0830.
Forecast for the upcoming week.
Summing up the opinions of several dozen analysts from world leading banks and broker companies as well as forecasts based on various methods of technical and graphical analysis, the following can be said:
- it appears nearly impossible to provide any sensible forecast regarding EUR/USD for the next 5 days as 46% of the experts believe that the pair will go up, 15% are for a sideways trend and 39% are for a fall. The indicators on H4 differ too – 74% vote for a rise, 22% for a fall and 4% remain neutral. The indicators on D1 are of the opposite opinion – only 9% are for a rise, another 9% are for sideways movement but 82% expect a fall. Considering that daily releases of important economic data for the eurozone, Japan and the USA or speeches by key figures (such as ECB President Mario Draghi) are expected throughout the week, the picture becomes even less clear. Therefore, what can be said is just that EUR/USD has room to both fall (to support at 1.0675 and 1.0455) and rise (with resistance at 1.0835, 1.0900 and 1.1100).