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EW Analysis: GBPAUD In The Corrective Phase

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ew-forecast Cập nhật   
FX:GBPAUD   Bảng Anh/Đô la Úc
Hello traders!

GBPAUD is clearly bearish, as we see a sharp fall in impulsive price activity down from 2.085 high. We are tracking a so-called impulse, a move that is structured by five waves, where two of them are corrections. Now, we are tracking a wave 4 correction which started at 1.768 level, and it can climb a little higher as corrections are made by three waves a-b-c, before pair can look for strong resistance and a bearish resumption into a wave 5.

"A wave 4 correction can unfold as a simple zig-zag, which seems to be the best possible scenario, unless it turns out to be a flat, a triangle, or a more complex w-x-y move."

Resistance for a wave 4 correction can be at Fib. Ratio of 38.2 that comes in at 1.88/1.90 level, so watch that area as a potential resistance, especially around the previous wave "i" swing low a lesser degree. As such, there is room for slightly more upside before downtrend may resume.

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Bình luận:

On 4h chart of GBPAUD, we see price approaching potential support at 1.806 level, provided form a former swing high. Also fib. ratios of 50.0 and 61.8 (1.806/1.80 level) can react as support, and push price into a higher degree wave c.
Bình luận:
GBPAUD looks to have completed its corrective wave 4 at 1.84 level, as price started sharply declining. Wave 5 now eyeing potential 1.73/1.72 area.
In case wave 4 is still underway, new rally may be seen towards 1.84/1.87 level.

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