Potential Long Position for GBP/AUD_Trade Plan 2017.06.22

Legend for price level, trend line, and rectangle:
Dark Gray > Weekly Level
Blue > Daily Level
Red > H4 / H1 Level
Green > M15 / M5 Level
Yellow > M1 Level

D1 and H4 are both showing the overall trend is still down with price holding far below MA200.
However, in D1, price seems hold and currently rejected up with Bullish Engulfing pattern from major D1 support area 1.66845-1.67683.
In H1, for the last 1-2 weeks, price is forming a major Falling Price Channel slightly above major D1 support area.
Currently, price is just hovering around price channel upper line and slightly below MA200.
It looks like the price is building some momentum.

Trade Plan:
If price break out the confluences of resistance area (Channel, Price Structure, MA200) with great momentum to the upside, can consider to long the market to follow the trend reversal. Since the major trend is still down, maybe it is better to wait for the first pull back before entry.
For aggressive traders, can enter right at the break out level.

With Stop Loss 57 pips and Target Profit 117 pips, the potential trade offers 2.05 Reward-To-Risk Ratio.
As an alternative, if the momentum is still good when price reaches next resistance area 1.69240-1.69597 and continue breaks it up, Target Profit can be expanded to total 263 pips which offers 4.61 Reward-To-Risk Ratio.

Keep in alert if the downtrend continuation is going massive since the major trend is still down.

Giao dịch đang hoạt động:

Open partial position and see for further movement.