GBPUSD - Analysis (ICT)

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This is a possible scenario for GBPUSD, annotated on the 1h timeframe.

Price just took out sellside liquidity and reversed back up rapidly during news on the 1st March 2024. There is much trendline liquidity residing above, but there is also a 3-week and monthly FVG below (off screen).

The narrative I have in mind is for price to at least either make one more high near the C.E of the NDOG or slightly piercing the trendline, then heading to the downside. Or, for a bullish scenario, price breaks convincingly above the trendline, then finds support to move higher.

Let's see what unfolds.

- R2F

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Ghi chú

I am leaning towards price coming down to purge the sellside liquidity and enter the FVGs. The relative equal lows on EURUSD adds to this bias.

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Ghi chú

Scrap the previous comment. Seasonally the Dollar is weak, and my chart analysis is showing a bearish dollar for the short-term. So perhaps the bullish scenario is more likely. Will be waiting for inefficiencies and displacements to be created.