GOLD : Gold will break out strongly in the future

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Gold prices increased slightly on Monday (July 1), with the market's focus shifting to US jobs data scheduled for release later this week, which could provide more signals about the The US Federal Reserve (Fed) lowered interest rates.

At the end of the trading session on July 1, the spot gold contract increased 0.2% to 2,329.79 USD/oz. Gold prices jumped more than 4% in the second quarter of 2024.

“We are seeing some short-covering activity by short futures traders and bargain hunters in the money markets,” said Jim Wyckoff, Senior Market Analyst at Kitco Metals. face. The market is also being supported by rising oil prices and a weakening USD."

U.S. manufacturing activity fell for a third straight month in June and a measure of the prices factories pay for inputs fell to a six-month low amid weak demand for goods. see inflation may continue to decline.

This week, the market will focus on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's comments on July 2, followed by the minutes of the central bank's latest policy meeting on July 3 and the U.S. jobs report. America on July 5.

Data last week showed US inflation was unchanged in May, while consumer spending rose moderately. The market predicts a 64% probability that the Fed will lower interest rates in September as well as another interest rate cut in December 2024.
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