Copper Futures: Bearish bias intact below $4.50

COMEX copper may have found a base, but whether the nascent recovery of recent weeks can continue faces a major hurdle at $4.50 resistance. With momentum indicators like RSI (14) and MACD still deeply negative, favouring a bearish bias, the contract remains a sell-on-rallies prospect until the price action suggests otherwise.

If the contract stays capped beneath $4.50 per pound, the July 31 low of $4.3325 is the first downside level to note, followed by $4.25 and $4.00. Those considering bearish setups could place stops above $4.50 for protection.

If the rebound were to extend above $4.50, the setup could flip, allowing for longs to be established above the level with a stop beneath for protection. The 200-day moving average, $4.75 and $5 per pound stand out as potential targets, depending on desired risk-reward.

Good luck!
DS