Here is a strong channel (number of touches and correlations) of Microsoft. Look to sell the highs (pink box) and buy the lows (green box).
I think it makes sense to buy with reduced risk as this is a bearish channel and the flow of money is to the downside. That means that longs will fail more often.
It's already at a sell zone, so it just needs a bearish candlestick pattern for me to enter shorts. Keep in mind that the lower than expected CPI numbers is suggesting to some people that the fed will increase rates at a slower pace. This lead to the huge gap up and strong bullish bar. Will that momentum continue and we see a channel breakout?
For now, I'll stick with the technicals and be more short bias than long bias.
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