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NATURAL GAS-Pt.1- Correction about to complete?
Hello traders,
here is our view about natural gas.
As we can see from the monthly time frame, natgas completed an impulse after breaking a big descending triangle.
After reaching a top of 9.995, natgas created a head and shoulders pattern that coincided with a 535 structure to the downside, as showed in the main chart.
Then, wave 3 of C seems to be completed with an ending diagonal.
If the bullish macro count is in now we should go for another impulse up. Alternatively, we may get a (C) wave to complete
the monthly retracement higher than 10. In the latter case to move to 9.995 would only be a (A) cycle correction of the descent from 2005 high of 16.477.
In both cases, we expect a big buying opportunity coming soon in natural gas.
We are not taking long positions now for wave iv of C since sentiment in retail brokers is over 90% long.
When ALL the retailers are buying, who is selling to them? Who is gonna buy to actually put upward pressure on price?
This is why extreme sentiment is a contrary indicator.
We will update as soon as we see a long setup.
here is our view about natural gas.
As we can see from the monthly time frame, natgas completed an impulse after breaking a big descending triangle.
After reaching a top of 9.995, natgas created a head and shoulders pattern that coincided with a 535 structure to the downside, as showed in the main chart.
Then, wave 3 of C seems to be completed with an ending diagonal.
If the bullish macro count is in now we should go for another impulse up. Alternatively, we may get a (C) wave to complete
the monthly retracement higher than 10. In the latter case to move to 9.995 would only be a (A) cycle correction of the descent from 2005 high of 16.477.
In both cases, we expect a big buying opportunity coming soon in natural gas.
We are not taking long positions now for wave iv of C since sentiment in retail brokers is over 90% long.
When ALL the retailers are buying, who is selling to them? Who is gonna buy to actually put upward pressure on price?
This is why extreme sentiment is a contrary indicator.
We will update as soon as we see a long setup.
Giao dịch đang hoạt động
sentiment decreasing. good chunk of retailers shake out Ending diagonal for wave iii of C seems completed.long order triggered 2.95@ stop loss already on entry
Ghi chú
kickd out breakeven. restriked 2.94 on 1H double bottom. sl already on entry. Better safe than sorry on the tricky devil natgasGhi chú
kicked at entry. Just observingGiao dịch đang hoạt động
waiting for the weekly pov at 2.76
Giao dịch đang hoạt động
order triggered 2.76 at the weekly POC. stop loss on entryGhi chú
again closed at entry. patience will be needed on this. Staying out until retailer sentiment decreases more significantlyGiao dịch đang hoạt động
Giao dịch được đóng thủ công
closed 2.88 for a profit 1.5% of equity. Not willing to risk over the weekend. No need to fomo.Ghi chú
Our decision to close prior the weekend payed out. Natural first targets for this wave 3 of C is 1.618 of 1 and the algo tp at the -0.236 of the whole move. Red zone on chart. Not saying we will buy there
Giao dịch đang hoạt động
red zone wicked. Long @2.471
Giao dịch đang hoạt động
stop loss on entry
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Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và các ấn phẩm này không nhằm mục đích, và không cấu thành, lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị về tài chính, đầu tư, giao dịch hay các loại khác do TradingView cung cấp hoặc xác nhận. Đọc thêm tại Điều khoản Sử dụng.