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NQ Range (11-03-25, Week 6)

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The F-M Long move is on with new month and O/N Gap Open UP. Curveball form Friday Close and late head fake. Again, the NAZ will have to use the O/N to lift it back up. Need to see how the Open Drive and Reg Session reacts to the low volume O/N lift. Run up to upper target above KL 26,290 and Short on reject of. Under 290 is a potential drop to 25k or 25,550.
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Open Range today and sideways inside to O/N with next move near the Close and next O/N. Looking for drop (pump/dump) at Open with Dead Zone lift back up.
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Prior 4 O/N lifts sessions with selling in the Reg, used for propping up or stabilizing the NAZ (which is 40-50% of S/P returns). Concern is when we see a Reg Session heavy selling session that can't be held up in off session.
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Potential M move should pattern continue.
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173 is KL and appears to be a Flip drop to FA's at 100 and 080. Pump/Dump to pop should FA's bounce.
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Here is what they did: KL 173 was actual Short or Flip Zone, at the last minute the O/N pumped it 100 points and at the Open the NAZ drops back to KL 173. The Upper turn was near KL 290, this is now the range and will go sideways to lower until the Off Session/O/N should we see a drop today.
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M Update from 290 Turn.
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This thing is juiced with 99% low volume off session bird seed (low quality). Still sticking with my flash crash on the way.
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FA zones may or will have to pop this or lower we go.
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Both FA's are hit and will need to get above or will drop or go sideways to O/N Rig Players.
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O/N Pump/Dump day number 5 (in a row). BTD/FOMO next or lower we go (until next O/N SESSION).
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Under 120 is short signal, NAZ may try and get back to near 290, has to get passed 120-140 1st.
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No pass at 120-140 and looking at 910 retest.
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Needs to get under shade zone here
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With O/N up next and should it lift again, NAZ will never drop. Need to see a lower O/N that is followed up by a sell off in the REG.
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100 point range break out for next move
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Stalled at ML of Range. Risk is shorting going into the O/N and that may be the Shake Out. Hard to play so wait or stay Short.
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Still feel the drop on the way. The battle is with the BTD's, FOMO's, Captain Tweety, Dead Zone and O/N. Other than that, you are great. Or just go Long for the face lift.
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415K on Futures volume, another lower volume day. Need to get some selling going (outside of the O/R).
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Pop or Drop at 26,090
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Diablo Pop/Drop into O/N.
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Under Diablo, no real clues here. Have to get passed night 7 of O/N lift move.
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Went to upper range and back in ML.
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11/4 Update, NAZ under 30M Diablo and may pop some near 25,730. O/N selling on higher volume need to see Reg Session follow through.
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25,483 is next support and Gap fill. No pop at 730.
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What we may be seeing is scaling in on the short side. This is basically a 1 way move with no redirect, as usual. The NAZ will go 1 way in both sessions, nasty turn that is used to trap the BTD/FOMO's.
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Open Range is 25,640 - 795.
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Just watch 730-795 for break out and head fake at 795
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The O/N is The BOSS, Reg Session will stall out or start selling under KL 795.
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5M to Open NAZ has stayed in range with 730 the ML.
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The O/N BOSS comment is the next signal. The O/N tends to drive direction or change it. Recent move up was primarily moved and maintained the upward move by the O/N. Today, we have a change and it is by way of the O/N. The Reg Session direction will be key today and has been lower, typically. The Reg Session also tends to move sideways and inside the KL's of the O/N. Should today's RS go South do not expect the automatic lift back up.
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Over the past 3 years the Overnight Price Action has easily taken over the PA of the NYSE. Today will be a major clue as to if we are making a direction change and we will need to see another drop in tonight's O/N Session. I highly doubt that the Reg Session will lift this and maintain it. The other period is the Dead Zone which is after the 1st hour. Should the DZ sell off and not lift, we are heading lower. The DZ may try or provide some head fakes to the upside. KL 910 and under is next rejection test and time for some games.
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910 - 730 is next range to watch.
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840 to 875 is Turn Zone and head fake long time, will need to get above 910 or going back to 795 or 730. Looks Like a Hook Short.
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Back later, Notice how the price barley moves. O/N is The BOSS and wants/change the direction to lower or at least we should see a few drop tests.
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Lower end of Range and will make a move here.
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O/N is The BOSS and Open Range gave a Pump/Dump for Dead Zone Zombies. Lifts sell off are the signal.
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Where is Tweety Bird? This Wash ST is going Short?
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NDX Gap Open and may try another 500 points lower to KL below.
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After seeing this selling PA movement, it is clear to me that both intraday buying and selling price action has changed. Both move slow and sneaky, this is new for selling. We see it snail lift, I have never seen it snail sell. New game and market structure.
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Just noticed that 10/29 was an Outside Day Reversal. Watch 855 and under.
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My Flash Crash comment is a half joke. We may not see a Flash or a Crash but something is cooking with a move lower. It just may take more time than usual. Back Later.
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663 is KL to watch on lower end, below may drop to 483 and above back in the range 730-663.
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NAZ back to Diablo
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25600 is major support so above may pop and below should drop bigger.
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Long Set Up and back under is drop.
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Diablo Pop, back under set up. Needs to get above 1st arrow or will drop.
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U Turn or Danger Zone under 483
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Reg Session SELLING, looking for a pop or O/N may go lower again. Think they will defend that by the Close.
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Still above and we shall see.
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NAZ retested Long set up and then dropped into the close.
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Above 483, the Danger Zone and the Diablo. O/N will have to lift it or way lower we go.
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On the 30M chart you will notice the 1 way stacking (minus the 1st 30m). This was slow and really not that deep. We may see a similar day this this again and can be tomorrow or even after a retracement day.
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11/5 Update, The BOSS took the NAZ lower and into the Churn Zone immediately after the Reg Session close. We have 2 Turn Zones for today that are 200 points apart. Look at opposite direction trades near Top TZ and Lower TZ until breakout. Watch the Diablo on the 30m.
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416 is lower channel support
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Drop from 540 and bounce near 416. Look Long near 300 and Short near 540 until we get a break out and should this turn and retest lower O/N level during Open Drive.
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This may be Open Range and much of PA today.
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Expected the Pop off the channel bottom and is a retracement day in the range.
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KL 730 rejection will send it back to O/N High and ML O/R
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Needs to get under 688 1st, if are looking short on Pull Back. Look for after a pop spike
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1st spike and block
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Early in the day and if it can't get above 730 it will go lower to create some points, any hold may pop back up and retest.
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Idea under 730 and then 688. This is a TZ.
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Where is Tweety?
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Here we go, The idea is to Short at 730 with stop above and scalp it until it breaks.
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Easy 40 point scalps and looks like it may drop some.
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This pop has to get through 730 or this be a head fake long.
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Dead Zone is in control and will keep trying to lift this, 730 is long above now.
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Tricky here at 730, will see wiggles and noise and a move out on nowhere. No idea on direction. Back later.
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This may help with targets and TZ's.
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Under 860 may drop back into range below.
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860 Rejection in the close
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May try 730
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730 Hit, Rigged
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Hard thing about trading is that you need to be a leader (taking trades against the crowd or followers). Then you need to be a follower (follow the trend). Flipping back and forth is the challenge. Many try to go short early (leader) and the crowd is following. Wait until the NAZ gets near KL's is best and can make things easier. Practice, you are correct usually, just early as the crowd is unaware and will change late and follow your lead.
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11/6 Update, 860 drop yesterday retested both KL's 730 and 663 opening up a decent range. This chart will show TZ's and KL's for the range of breakout. Look for retesting of both today until breakout.
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Arrow may be range to watch and Open Range
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May see Hook Short under 774
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Spike to Hook Short, under 774
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Battle at 774, one will break and watch head fake Long
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Needs to pass 795
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AP or pop today, back later
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Bingo Bango
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425 is Churn Zone and Danger Zone.
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Major AP
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1.5 hour 400 point move, watch lower TZ
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525-470 is range to watch
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243 is next support, Flashy kinda crash here
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285-360 is range
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291 held so far
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360 is key and NAZ needs to get above and stay or will go sideways to lower
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Long signal at 345, scalp Retracement
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Head Fake so far use a stop
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Set up or will tank huge
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285 pop or bust
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Looking for this scalp.
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Major Support here and should pop
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Trying just watch KL 243 for a bounce
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U Turn TL, under this is the Abyss.
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NDX Gap Fill
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U Turn is playing out, SOME
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Needs to hit 320
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320 Scalp hit
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Looking like the Abyss
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Needs to pass 260
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260-360 is range and U Turn Zone may be retested again. Great fight.
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NAZ may drop near this MA
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Watch for a drop or pull back at 360
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Back to 360 REJECTION is a potential major drop.
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Here we go.
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Nasty Games.
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This is typical of a U Turn and I am not Long as the reverse may appear as we are seeing a Failed Auction lift. These usually get retested.
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Since the drop a few days ago, we have not seen a 1 way drop and have had more happen in the O/N. Looking for this to drop by EOD or it just may go back up and the O/N may add on. Strange change in patterns so hang tight.
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MA Test and will react or pass.
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Under 410 is drop zone. To 370 or so. We do se divergence but FOMO's are buying the dip.
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FYI, this PA looks very similar to the O/N lift and the lift during Reg Session yesterday, both dropped quickly. Not calling just a note.
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Watch 370 and under may do this.
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Google and Apple are now dropping some or giving back some gains.
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Near Close, sideways No Trade Zone as it has flattened out. Gamble at this point. 380-415, stronger move lower under 340-20
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25,400 and under may be only clue with a Short or drop into Close. I am Flat.
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Huge Volume today, NAZ heading lower with 30m to go.
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Needs to stay under 378
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Needs to break under 320 or may pop back up.
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Looking that way, will the O/N take it under the Danger Zone or redirect it away?
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Back to the KL 243, should of played it.
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11/7 Update, NAZ rotating mostly in O/N Session and is under Danger Zone level. Looking for the Friday-Monday Long play or not. This will be the clear signal should we not see a lift today. 25,220 is the Key Level to watch. This is the Mid Level of O/N and Danger Zone TL.
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Watch range 125-220 for some up/down and then breakout. Shaded Zone on IDS75
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Back above 125 may pop back to DZ TL
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Retesting 125 for next move.
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125 is key, 088KL will go with one of these. 125 retests then drop or pop through is set up, may drop/pop here off low 25060.
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Potential plays above 125
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NAZ supported on top of a Diablo here, may rotate some or move a decent move here.
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ML CZ may bounce, 125 is revisit if so.
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Just not see any real strong force on lower end, may see pop on on a Friday. This looks like a slow mop up on the lower side.
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Back Later, NAZ above Diablo is Only POP.
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NAZ is slowing lifting and then rolling over. The change in pattern is Long Signal. I was expecting a strong heavy route lower. This appears to be a slow bleed. Not Short here and Looking for Long Entry for Retracement Trade. 24,800 is next pop target. Back Later but closing Post here, have to run out.
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The NAZ is back to Starting level that was on 9/29 Week 1 Post/Forecast.
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Back to 800. Pass is 24,900
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No pass 800 get out
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Close half.
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This was 1st roll turn or change.
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Long Signals. These may get a revisit. Scalp Time.
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Stalling watch Dart Drop
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Dart, here is the range.
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Revisit in the range and back up
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Just not feeling major crash here, seems weak
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Play lower range until breakout.
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870 is pop or head fake.
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25,900 hit trail it, do not close
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Target and Short at rejection or major stall close it
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Tricky drop, your stop that was trailing should of protected
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Sideways chop may be until the close or we see a major move one way or other. Whichever we see it is most likely a fake trap. I am out and have a great weekend.
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Watch 25,015 very closely.
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Diablo POP, may revisit. Ticks are 1,500 Plus. Any drop in Ticks may turn this. NAZ almost back to KL 125, That would be next and through is ROCKET
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This is huge, FA's on the way up and Hook Long. This may be a Long or set up to sell in the Close or O/N. Very Odd and not adding up this much. I was looking Long but the way up is sketchy, take profit before the drop or The Close.
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This may explain today. The Orange TL is from late 2022 and below is not good. Seem like the Long Only Folks will try anything to get above.
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NAZ went almost coast to coast today on the Churn Zone and is near Mid Level.
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25102 is KL key, Needs to pass. This looks like yesterday and the day before.
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Final Picture of Reg Session, Did not feel like strong Short and that is in the Chart. This may get propped by O/N into Monday. Tuesday we will need some good news or we retest the low.
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