NQ - LONG SETUP AND STUDY ABOUT FAIL BEARISH CONTINUATION
Context:
CPI was already priced higher, anchoring expectations toward a risk-on sentiment.
Two VWAPs are now in play:
VWAP 1 – Origin of the Swing: drawn from the structural reversal low (failed bearish continuation).
VWAP 2 – Macro Event Anchor: anchored at the CPI release on Oct 24, 2025, serving as an institutional reference point until the next major macro event (Big Tech earnings next week).
Market Structure:
After three consecutive bearish structural failures and three long breakouts with acceptance, the bias had already shifted before the violation of 23,395.
The final breakout and acceptance realigned all timeframes to a long structural bias.
Operational Framework:
Macro Value Area (VAH): acts as resistance-turned-demand zone.
Discount Zone: preferred re-entry area.
Trigger: Reaccumulation or failed new low pattern inside value.
VWAP 1 + VWAP 2 confluence: defines fair value equilibrium and directional conviction.
Revision Note:
When sellers fail to extend a bearish range in index markets, all short setups must be reviewed.
The structural bias in equity indices remains long by default — short efficiency must be proven, not assumed.
CPI was already priced higher, anchoring expectations toward a risk-on sentiment.
Two VWAPs are now in play:
VWAP 1 – Origin of the Swing: drawn from the structural reversal low (failed bearish continuation).
VWAP 2 – Macro Event Anchor: anchored at the CPI release on Oct 24, 2025, serving as an institutional reference point until the next major macro event (Big Tech earnings next week).
Market Structure:
After three consecutive bearish structural failures and three long breakouts with acceptance, the bias had already shifted before the violation of 23,395.
The final breakout and acceptance realigned all timeframes to a long structural bias.
Operational Framework:
Macro Value Area (VAH): acts as resistance-turned-demand zone.
Discount Zone: preferred re-entry area.
Trigger: Reaccumulation or failed new low pattern inside value.
VWAP 1 + VWAP 2 confluence: defines fair value equilibrium and directional conviction.
Revision Note:
When sellers fail to extend a bearish range in index markets, all short setups must be reviewed.
The structural bias in equity indices remains long by default — short efficiency must be proven, not assumed.
Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và ấn phẩm không có nghĩa là và không cấu thành, tài chính, đầu tư, kinh doanh, hoặc các loại lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị khác được cung cấp hoặc xác nhận bởi TradingView. Đọc thêm trong Điều khoản sử dụng.
Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và ấn phẩm không có nghĩa là và không cấu thành, tài chính, đầu tư, kinh doanh, hoặc các loại lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị khác được cung cấp hoặc xác nhận bởi TradingView. Đọc thêm trong Điều khoản sử dụng.