The concept here is to use the KEY EARNINGS LEVELS as the important beginning and ending for your regression analysis. That way you KNOW the first and last points are extremely important price levels for the stock you are analyzing. Many times people use various, inconsistent methods to determine where to begin and end regressions and it yields unacceptable results. I am all about doing analysis that can be repeated and later re-analyzed, which is why I like my Time@Mode Methodology (see my other charts here at TradingView). \
I added a "hanging wire" to highlight the beginning and end of the regression (just for visual reinforcement)
I also added the "Range Expansion" that is happening today (see the tiny, white triangle and "+++ RgExp") to give me a heads up that someone is aggressively buying the stock today (or short covering) and that is always a good sign to begin to establish long positions.
As a side note: The ATR of PBF is at the lowest it has been in it's entire history, which doesn't mean that it is LOW RISK by any means, but it means it is LOW VOLATILITY. Low Volatility can mean "no interest" and it can mean a host of other things too, like a one-sided market where everyone is slowly doing the same thing (selling or buying) and driving a stock price in a particular direction waiting for some reaction back from the market, the company or Wall Street Analysts.
I put the "WOW" at the top there because that's when it looked like PBF was breaking out and acting unusually great... "WOW" seemed to fit nicely. It briefly continued the breakout, bringing in all kinds of technical breakout traders and then promptly dove down from there to wash out any hopeful breakout traders.
Do some Due Diligence. I went to the company's annual meeting in New Jersey in May (Parsippany) and didn't find out much from that, other than they don't like telling their story to a room full of investors. Only 4 outside investors were there.
For now, this is just informational for you to see how to draw "KEY EARNINGS LEVEL - REGRESSION POINTS"
Tim 26.73 last PBF 10:54AM Friday, June 5, 2015
I added a "hanging wire" to highlight the beginning and end of the regression (just for visual reinforcement)
I also added the "Range Expansion" that is happening today (see the tiny, white triangle and "+++ RgExp") to give me a heads up that someone is aggressively buying the stock today (or short covering) and that is always a good sign to begin to establish long positions.
As a side note: The ATR of PBF is at the lowest it has been in it's entire history, which doesn't mean that it is LOW RISK by any means, but it means it is LOW VOLATILITY. Low Volatility can mean "no interest" and it can mean a host of other things too, like a one-sided market where everyone is slowly doing the same thing (selling or buying) and driving a stock price in a particular direction waiting for some reaction back from the market, the company or Wall Street Analysts.
I put the "WOW" at the top there because that's when it looked like PBF was breaking out and acting unusually great... "WOW" seemed to fit nicely. It briefly continued the breakout, bringing in all kinds of technical breakout traders and then promptly dove down from there to wash out any hopeful breakout traders.
Do some Due Diligence. I went to the company's annual meeting in New Jersey in May (Parsippany) and didn't find out much from that, other than they don't like telling their story to a room full of investors. Only 4 outside investors were there.
For now, this is just informational for you to see how to draw "KEY EARNINGS LEVEL - REGRESSION POINTS"
Tim 26.73 last PBF 10:54AM Friday, June 5, 2015
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