PLTR Showing Weakness Near Key Support: Rebound or Breakdown?

🔍 Market Structure & Price Action (1H)
* Trend: Bearish structure confirmed. PLTR has broken previous bullish BOS (Break of Structure) and is forming lower highs and lower lows.
* Current Zone: Price is consolidating in a tight red Reversal Zone near ~$84.50, showing buyer hesitation.
* Descending Channel: PLTR is respecting a well-defined descending wedge. A breakout above the upper trendline (around $86–87) is needed to confirm bullish momentum.
* S/R Levels:
* Immediate Resistance: $86.50–87.00
* Key Support: $84.00, then strong structure at $80.00.

📈 Indicators
* MACD: Momentum is flat, histogram bars weakening—indecision or early sign of reversal.
* Stoch RSI: Curving upward from the oversold region, potential short-term bounce if volume confirms.

🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
* CHoCH (Change of Character): Bearish CHoCH already occurred, confirming shift in bias.
* BOS (Break of Structure): Multiple BOS reinforce downward trend.
* Liquidity Sweep: Price hovering near potential liquidity zones (below $84), suggesting big players might be hunting stops before reversal or breakdown.

📊 Options GEX + Sentiment (Options GEX [PRO])

* IVR: 68.2 (relatively elevated, implies decent premium selling opportunities)
* IVx avg: 90.7, shows heightened volatility priced in.
* Call$/Put$ Flow:
* Calls: 31.6%
* GEX Sentiment: 🔴🔴🔴 (3 Red Dots = Bearish)
* Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* Highest negative GEX zone (PUT wall support): $80.00 → strong magnet if breakdown continues.
* Moderate Put wall: $84.00
* Strongest Call Resistance / Gamma Wall: $92.00–$98.00 (above the descending channel)
* HVL: $85.83 → Heavy volume level, confluence zone for key decisions.

⚔️ Trade Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Reversal Scenario
* Entry: Break above $86 with bullish volume
* Target: $89 → $92 (short-term), then $98 if momentum builds
* Stop-Loss: Below $83.50
* Options Play: Buy Calls 2–3 weeks out ATM (85C or $87C) or credit put spreads around $80–$82
🔴 Bearish Breakdown Scenario
* Entry: Break below $84 support with volume
* Target: $82 → $80 (major GEX support)
* Stop-Loss: Above $86
* Options Play: Buy Puts (82P or $80P), or bear call spreads under $90

📌 Conclusion
PLTR is at a make-or-break zone near strong support. If it holds $84 and breaks the trendline, a short-term relief rally toward $92–$98 is possible. However, if $84 gives way, the GEX-supported magnet at $80 could be the next stop. Watch volume and MACD crossover for early clues.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.