QQQ Compression Coil

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The bulls trying to extend the prior double-bottom rally while bears defend the neckline of a new head & shoulders
  • Volume contraction is key as it means bears haven’t confirmed their pattern yet
  • RSI ≈ 51 is perfectly neutral; momentum flat, but not diverging yet
  • Stoch ≈ 82 is in showing short-term overbought, which often precedes a minor pullback; unless, volume expands upward
  • Volume is declining through right-shoulder formation which suggests indecision, not conviction selling

Double-bottom support vs emerging head & shoulders resistance
  • Until $595 or $606 decisively breaks on volume, expect sideways consolidation
  • The edge slightly favors bulls because the neckline hasn’t been challenged with volume
  • RSI & structure still lean constructive

1. Continuation of relief rally; neckline retest from above (55%)
  • Break above $606-$610

2. Rejection & neckline (35%)
  • Test ($595)

3. Controlled fade; could create a larger base (10%)
  • Clean neckline breach
  • Would target $585–$586 quickly; momentum flush




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