SPX LT View May 2018

31 thg 5, 2018

Following the path

4 thg 6, 2018

Ghi chú

There is an OPEC meeting this week. There is a probability that a decision could be taken to drive oil prices higher which should support SPX. Retest if the highs possible then

5 thg 6, 2018

Ghi chú

Transports iffy...

7 thg 6, 2018

Ghi chú

Retesting the highs will squeeze the vast majority of people..markets tend to do that regularly. Lets see

12 thg 6, 2018

Ghi chú

2 gaps above 2800s, FED meeting/ECB meeting. Crunch time into June 20..

13 thg 6, 2018

Ghi chú

Crunch time coming next few sessions. The most pain for all is closing the gaps and reversing next few sessions..

23 thg 6, 2018

Ghi chú

Still marginal higher high possible but not necessary... Quarter end next week and then 4 JUly

25 thg 6, 2018

Ghi chú

Month/quarter end this week. From next week, QT rises to $40bn per month and combined FED+ECB will be negative liquidity for the first time. Also 2H we should be traversing into US growth slowdown. In other words all parts are should be in place for a 2nd leg down

28 thg 6, 2018

Ghi chú

1Q2018 GDP confirmed at 2.8% YOY. So this week we are completing 2Q and will be interesting to see whether US can muster 8 consecutive Q of whatever marginal acceleration in GDP to make it a record streak that has never happened before. MAGA awaits